An NBA Finals rematch is on tap when the Los Angeles Lakers host the Miami Heat on Saturday. It will mark the first meeting between the clubs since October, when Los Angeles closed out the Heat in six games at the NBA Bubble in Florida. The teams have gone in opposite directions this season, with the Lakers (22-8) perched atop the Pacific Division and Miami (12-17) outside of the playoff picture in the East.
Tip-off is at 8:30 p.m. at Staples Center. William Hill Sportsbook lists Los Angeles as a three-point favorite while the over-under is 209.5 in the latest Lakers vs. Heat odds. Before locking in any Heat vs. Lakers picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks last season. The model is also up more than $8,400 on top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. Dating back to last season, it enters Week 9 of the 2020-21 NBA schedule on a stunning 83-48 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Heat vs. Lakers spread: Lakers -3
- Heat vs. Lakers over-under: 209.5 points
- Heat vs. Lakers money line: Lakers -160; Heat +140
- MIA: Heat G Tyler Herro has a pair of 27-point games in his last three
- LAL: Lakers PG Dennis Schroder (COVID-19 protocols) could miss a second straight game
Latest Odds: Los Angeles Lakers -3.5
Why the Heat can cover
Forward Jimmy Butler recorded his third consecutive triple-double in Thursday’s 118-110 win at Sacramento, going for 13 points, 10 rebounds and a season-high 13 assists. While he scored only 13 points in each of the last two games, Butler has flirted with a triple-double in eight of the past nine contests. He had a pair of them in the Finals against the Lakers, topped by 40- and 35-point performances.
Center Bam Adebayo also had a triple-double Thursday with 16 points, 12 rebounds and 10 assists, the eighth time in 12 games he has double-digit rebounds. He also was a part of history, joining Butler as the only players to ever post triple-doubles in the same game on multiple occasions. The team’s leading scorer at 19.8 points, Adebayo missed two games in last season’s Finals due to a neck injury.
Why the Lakers can cover
LeBron James reached a major milestone in Thursday’s loss to Brooklyn, joining Kareem Abdul-Jabbar and Karl Malone as the only players in league history to score 35,000 points. The 36-year-old James also became the youngest player to 35,000 after collecting 62 points over the past two games. He scorched the Heat in the NBA Finals, averaging 29.8 points on 58.6 percent shooting and notching five double-doubles and a triple-double in the series.
Over his past eight games, James has posted four double-doubles and a pair of triple-doubles while averaging 8.9 assists. Forward Kyle Kuzma started again Thursday in place of the injured Anthony Davis (calf/Achilles) and supplied a double-double with 16 points and 10 rebounds. It was Kuzma’s second double-double in the past six games, a span in which he is averaging 8.3 boards.
How to make Heat vs. Lakers picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, projecting both teams combine for 215 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can get that pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Heat vs. Lakers? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.